REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Window 29 Jul 2026, 14:43 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 16:13 UTC
Price at window start 87¢ → at trigger 69¢ → at close 74¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 20 Jan 2029, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
REPRICED Repriced -13.0pts: 87¢ at window start → 74¢ at close
OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 85¢ (band 85¢–89¢)band basis: warming_up
VOLUME 1.6× this market's 7-day norm, $35.0k in 24h
BOOK Book 1.4:1 bid, $5.7k/$4.2k within 10¢depth from the 16:08 UTC snapshot (no close reading)
UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $428, 1.7× this market's typical big tradesize baseline: 95th pct of 100 trades / 7d
DEPTH PENDING · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (2)
29 Jul 2026, 14:43 UTC: Sustained reprice: 87¢ → 69¢ (-18.0pts), confirmed over 182s
29 Jul 2026, 14:55 UTC: Sustained reprice: 69¢ → 74¢ (+5.0pts), confirmed over 70s
Context artifact
@PressSec · X: posted 8 min before the break
"Todd Blanche loves our country, just as he loves the Department of Justice. He has earned this promotion to be our next attorney general."
https://t.co/HgIxguLWzx
View the post
Shown as timing context from the sources TruthPing watches. Its appearance near the move is an observation, not an explanation.
Outcome: graded at window close
+2m after alert: 69¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
+30m: 74¢, held +13.0ptspts
Peak move: +18.0pts
Held 72% of the peak move at close
Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
Gave back half within 60m: no
Price at close: 74¢
Graded from 46 snapshots
Evaluated on 30-second snapshots
Band basis: warming_up
Payload frozen 29 Jul 2026, 16:13 UTC. This record no longer changes.
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