REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Window 29 Jul 2026, 23:21 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 00:51 UTC
Price at window start 75¢ → at trigger 81¢ → at close 74¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 20 Jan 2029, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced -1.0pts: 75¢ at window start → 74¢ at close
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 83¢ (band 83¢–88¢)
band basis: warming_up
- VOLUME 2.4× this market's 7-day norm, $52.3k in 24h
- BOOK Book 2.7:1 ask, $1.8k/$4.8k within 10¢
depth from the 00:45 UTC snapshot (no close reading)
DEPTH PENDING · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (2)
- 29 Jul 2026, 23:21 UTC: Sustained reprice: 75¢ → 81¢ (+6.0pts), confirmed over 156s
- 29 Jul 2026, 23:46 UTC: Sustained reprice: 81¢ → 77¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 650s
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 82¢, drift +1.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 78¢, held +3.0ptspts
- Peak move: +7.0pts
- Held 0% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: yes
- Price at close: 74¢
- Graded from 20 snapshots