REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Window 29 Jul 2026, 14:12 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 15:42 UTC
Price at window start 42¢ → at trigger 36¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -10.0pts: 42¢ at window start → 32¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 40¢ (band 40¢–43¢)
band basis: warming_up
- BOOK Book 1.1:1 ask, $3.2k/$3.3k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $600, 1.2× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 103 trades / 7d
Triggers (2)
- 29 Jul 2026, 14:12 UTC: Sustained reprice: 42¢ → 36¢ (-6.0pts), confirmed over 58s
- 29 Jul 2026, 15:32 UTC: Sustained reprice: 36¢ → 32¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 72s