QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 05:51 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 07:21 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 05:28 UTC

Interfax reports Russia claims strikes on two ships carrying weapons destined for Ukraine's Odesa ports.