REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Window 29 Jul 2026, 14:25 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 15:55 UTC
Price at window start 32¢ → at trigger 35¢
YES up · NO down
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +3.5pts: 32¢ at window start → 35¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 32¢ (band 29¢–32¢)
band basis: warming_up
- BOOK Book 15.6:1 bid, $7.5k/$482 within 10¢
- VOLUME 1.2× this market's 7-day norm, $16.2k in 24h
Triggers (1)
- 29 Jul 2026, 14:25 UTC: Sustained reprice: 32¢ → 35¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 30s