QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Kalshi
Window 29 Jul 2026, 13:22 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 14:52 UTC
Price at window start n/a
Resolves 29 Jul 2026, 17:59 UTC
A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.
@nicktimiraos · 29 Jul 2026, 13:08 UTC
With interest-rate futures markets pricing in a one-third chance of a Fed hike today, whatever the Fed does will be the largest "surprise" at a non-rate-cut meeting since 1997, according to Goldman Sachs. A hike would be "the largest meeting-day surprise outside of cuts since the Fed started releasing statements to announce policy-rate changes."