QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 21:23 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 22:53 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 20:17 UTC

SENIOR ISRAELI OFFICIAL: IRAN'S SUPREME LEADER MOJTABA KHAMENEI TAKING 'VERY NEGATIVE' LINE ON EVERY ISSUE, BUT UNCLEAR IF INSTRUCTIONS ATTRIBUTED TO HIM ACTUALLY COME FROM HIM - AXIOS CORRESPONDENT BARAK RAVID