QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 16:25 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 17:55 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC

SENIOR US OFFICIAL TO BARAK RAVID: IRANIAN REPORT OF MISSILE STRIKE ON WESTERN AZERBAIJAN REGION IS FALSE