QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 23:12 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 00:42 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@sentdefender · 29 Jul 2026, 18:34 UTC

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced that as of today CENTCOM has redirected 20 commercial vessels while disabling 2 and boarding 2 more to ensure compliance with the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports. https://t.co/9IzHA8IQn7