QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket
Window 29 Jul 2026, 11:51 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 13:21 UTC
Price at window start n/a
Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.
@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 11:37 UTC
A TOTAL OF 53 CONFIRMED VESSEL CROSSINGS WERE RECORDED ACROSS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND BAB EL-MANDEB ON 28 JULY, WITH 12 TRANSITS THROUGH HORMUZ, AN INCREASE OF 50% FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY, AND 41 THROUGH BAB EL-MANDEB, UP 5%. TRAFFIC THROUGH HORMUZ REMAINED HIGHLY CONCENTRATED, WITH 10 OF 12 VESSELS USING THE IRANIAN UNILATERAL SCHEME AND NONE USING THE HORMUZ TRAFFIC SEPARATION SCHEME. IN BAB EL-MANDEB, THE LATEST DATA IDENTIFIED 4 DARK TRANSITS, 4 SANCTIONED VESSEL CROSSINGS AND 8 SHADOW FLEET MOVEMENTS, REINFORCING THAT WHILE COMMERCIAL TRAFFIC CONTINUES, ROUTING BEHAVIOUR AND VESSEL TRANSPARENCY REMAIN THE KEY INDICATORS OF OPERATIONAL, COMPLIANCE AND GEOPOLITICAL RISK.