REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Polymarket
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Window 27 Jul 2026, 16:36 UTC → 27 Jul 2026, 18:06 UTC
Price at window start 56¢ → at trigger 59¢ → at close 59¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 20 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced +3.5pts — 56¢ at window start → 59¢ at close
- VOLUME $237 in 24h (7-day norm still forming)
volume summed from the market's own trade tape
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $8, 44 trades in window
size baseline still forming: no 7-day trade-size sample yet
Book 1.2:1 bid, $11.7k/$9.5k within 10¢ · spread 2.0¢
Triggers (1)
- 27 Jul 2026, 16:36 UTC: Sustained reprice: 56¢ → 59¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 60s
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 59¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 60¢, held +4.0ptspts
- Peak move: +4.0pts
- Held 87% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: no
- Price at close: 59¢
- Graded from 90 snapshots