REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Window 27 Jul 2026, 11:34 UTC → 27 Jul 2026, 13:04 UTC
Price at window start 63¢ → at trigger 66¢ → at close 67¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 03 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced +4.0pts — 63¢ at window start → 67¢ at close
- VOLUME $44.3k in 24h (7-day norm still forming)
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $47, 22 trades in window
size baseline still forming: no 7-day trade-size sample yet
Book 1.2:1 ask, $17.0k/$20.0k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (1)
- 27 Jul 2026, 11:34 UTC: Sustained reprice: 63¢ → 66¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 60s
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 66¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 67¢, held +4.0ptspts
- Peak move: +4.0pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
- Gave back half within 60m: no
- Price at close: 67¢
- Graded from 86 snapshots